A.J. Burnett

10 Nov

http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/yankees/yankees-gm-brian-cashman-clarifies-remarks-a-burnett-team-plans-season-article-1.971587#ixzz1ce4g4R1d

Brian Cashman typically chooses his words very carefully. Tuesday, that wasn’t the case.

During a conference call to announce his own new contract, Cashman began an answer about A.J. Burnett by saying, “If he’s with us, he’s in the rotation.”

While some interpreted that as a sign that Cashman was planning to deal the enigmatic righthander this winter, the general manager clarified himself Wednesday, saying that wasn’t the case at all.

“I guess it was a bad choice of words,” Cashman said. “My intention wasn’t to imply that we were looking to trade him. I tried to explain that for everybody that doesn’t have a full no-trade, I’m willing to be open-minded, listen and try to be creative. I’m trying to add to my rotation, so if I subtract from it, I’ll have to add even more.”

Burnett is 34-35 with a 4.79 ERA in his three years with the Yankees, and that includes a 21-26 record and 5.20 ERA over the past two seasons. He’s 2-2 with a 5.08 ERA in seven postseason starts, although he did throw 5 2/3 innings of one-run ball in Game 4 against the Tigers last month to extend the AL division series to a decisive Game 5.

“Even though he’s been inconsistent, he provides a lot of ability,” Cashman said. “He won one of our two playoff games (this year) and he’s not afraid of this environment. There’s something to be said for that.”

There’s also something to be said for Burnett’s ability to stay healthy, something that hasn’t been an issue during his time in New York. Burnett has made 33, 33 and 32 starts in his three seasons, averaging 195 innings per season.

With CC Sabathia re-signed to a new five-year deal, the Yankees have Sabathia, Burnett, Ivan Nova and Phil Hughes lined up for four of the five rotation spots. The Yankees will look to add at least one more starter this winter, although they could bring in more and create a competition for the spots in the back end of the rotation as they have in each of the past two seasons.

“It would be hard for me to move him, because we need the innings,” Cashman said. “Subtracting from the rotation puts even more pressure on us to add to it. I won’t be shopping anybody, I can tell you that.”

 

現金人澄清說AJ下個球季還是會待洋基,之前用”如果”來回答AJ明年是否續待洋基是說錯話。

 

事由是他星期二在新約記者會上回答說:如果AJ明年續待洋基,會當先發。

也就是因為那樣,有人解讀為現金人有計畫交易AJ,
因此星期三現金人自己澄清完全不是那麼一回事,只是選錯字,用錯詞,
他想表達的是沒有拒絕交易限制的每個選手,去留不設限。

 

他也說現在正在補強先發,如果去掉AJ,就要補更多先發。即使AJ表現不穩定,他還是有
些能耐的,他今年贏得季後賽兩勝中的一勝,且他不畏懼任何狀況。

 

再來就是AJ在洋基期間都很健康,AJ在洋基三個球季分別先發33, 33和32場,平均每一季吃掉195局。

AJ在洋基三年成績:34勝35敗,ERA4.79
AJ2010和2011成績:21勝26敗,ERA5.20
AJ季後賽成績:七次先發,2勝2敗,ERA5.08。
今年ALDS和老虎第四場投了5又2/3局,失一分。((記憶猶新啊~~~))

 

隨著CC五年約塵埃落定,洋基先發有CC, AJ, Nova和Hughes,今年冬天至少會再找一個先發,當然也可以像過去兩個球季一樣,多找幾個先發後段輪值的替補。

 

====

http://www.yankeeanalysts.com/2011/11/just-how-bad-was-aj-in-2011-36179

 

翻遍Fangraphs的2011投手排行榜,有個名字總是在排行榜底部重複出現,
沒錯,那就是A.J. Burnett是也。 冏~

 

上述現金人的說法的確沒錯,但是呢,其他可以吃掉195局的投手,都投得比AJ來的好。
AJ唯一表現穩定的是:他在投手排行榜一直居“首”,只是在倒數的那一邊。 Orz’

 

從優點先分析吧,因為很短: =.=’
2011年投了190.1局, 每九局平均三振8.18次,美聯排第11,報告完畢。

 

再來,缺點:

1. 每九局平均保送3.92次,保送次數排行第四多。

2. 每九局平均被打出1.47支全壘打,只有兩個投手比他多:Colby Lewis(1.57)和Bronson Arroyo(2.08)。

3. 1.5WAR為先發投手中倒數第12。 (如果你知道WAR是怎麼算的,你也會知道投這麼多局但WAR這麼低實在是“難得”)

4. FIP4.77為倒數第四,比他糟的就只有Joe Saunders, Brad Penny和Bronson Arroyo。

5. 2010洋基史上第一個投超過180局以上、ERA超過5的投手,2011再度蟬聯“寶座”。
5.15的自責分率在先發投手中只低於Fausto Carmona的5.25和Brad Penny的5.30。

6. 過去三個球季中,第二次暴投數最多。
現役球員暴投榜中,只有投蝴蝶球、比AJ多丟六個球季的Tim Wakefield比他多,
但老蝴蝶只比AJ多10個暴投數,所以2011年投出25次暴投的AJ,
下一季應該很容易就能超越出賽次數不多的老蝴蝶。 OTL’

 

過去兩年休季期間,兩位投手教練皆和AJ重練投球機制,
過去兩年的四月都是AJ投的最有聲有色的月份,但接下來都慘不忍睹。

 

假如扣掉過去兩季的四月,AJ共投了307局,14勝25敗,
送出140保送,責失分193,ERA腫脹到5.66。

 

當然四月是算在成績內的,
也就是說過去兩季大部份他上場先發的時間,球隊贏球的機率有多低。
且別忘了,AJ是待在一支每年得分名列聯盟前茅的球隊,
要在一支這麼好的球隊投這麼糟,還真不容易 (作者酸到最高點。。。)

 

即使AJ每五天先發一次,洋基去年還是贏了97場比賽,

試想如果AJ先發的位置給一個相當於聯盟平均值的投手,洋基勝場數會有多少?

 

以AJ的表現,除了有人和他表現一樣糟、約一樣貴,沒有球隊願意每年付他$16.5M,
洋基一貫策略是不幫別隊吃薪水,怕開了先例就會每次有球隊期待口袋深的洋基幫忙吃薪水的惡例產生。

 

如果說真的有“幫別隊吃薪水”先例的時機,那就是現在。
如果洋基認真思考2012冠軍隊伍的陣容,AJ絕不能是先發之一。

 

AID: #1EjOfThm 11/06,  #1Ek9Rnh4 11/08 on Yankees, Copyrights Reserved

 

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